Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.164176 0.175747 0.187848 0.201471 0.216408 0.232318 0.250589
2026-02-01 0.146235 0.163408 0.182404 0.205088 0.231586 0.261736 0.298893
2026-02-08 0.132738 0.152419 0.174988 0.203002 0.237144 0.277800 0.330472
2026-02-15 0.123670 0.145113 0.170424 0.202847 0.243780 0.294427 0.362935
2026-02-22 0.114595 0.136808 0.163642 0.198909 0.244744 0.303308 0.385497
2026-03-01 0.108356 0.131386 0.159795 0.198019 0.249051 0.316253 0.413932
2026-03-08 0.103783 0.127649 0.157667 0.198949 0.255480 0.332101 0.447331
2026-03-15 0.098215 0.122245 0.152961 0.195993 0.256207 0.339876 0.469515
2026-03-22 0.093851 0.118128 0.149640 0.194569 0.258763 0.350144 0.495954
2026-03-29 0.091472 0.116474 0.149445 0.197330 0.267268 0.369428 0.537703
2026-04-05 0.087728 0.112768 0.146225 0.195561 0.268952 0.378516 0.563954
2026-04-12 0.084261 0.109265 0.143080 0.193659 0.270211 0.386881 0.589569
2026-04-19 0.080589 0.105360 0.139242 0.190605 0.269626 0.392466 0.611329
2026-04-26 0.079281 0.104698 0.139954 0.194301 0.279646 0.415682 0.666035
2026-05-03 0.076373 0.101634 0.137047 0.192341 0.280566 0.423971 0.694736
2026-05-10 0.074200 0.099520 0.135410 0.192198 0.284322 0.437179 0.733772
2026-05-17 0.071185 0.096066 0.131642 0.188526 0.282031 0.439764 0.752662
2026-05-24 0.069135 0.093942 0.129755 0.187696 0.284365 0.450521 0.788599
2026-05-31 0.067658 0.092600 0.128975 0.188563 0.289569 0.466713 0.837228
2026-06-07 0.065339 0.089920 0.126049 0.185806 0.288350 0.471046 0.861589
2026-06-14 0.063505 0.087904 0.124063 0.184478 0.289518 0.479846 0.896411
2026-06-21 0.062715 0.087434 0.124439 0.187054 0.297714 0.502532 0.964491
2026-06-28 0.060970 0.085445 0.122359 0.185403 0.298178 0.510246 0.999523